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Summary
The
theme of climate changes is no longer an issue restricted to academic
area and became part of the everyday life of people and discussions
subjects of national and international development policies, as the
possibility of climate change is getting bigger in the most drastic
way. Thus, the main approach recommended at this time is starting to
develop ways, techniques and methods of adaptation of the human
activities to these changes, because the costs and impacts of inaction
can be very high.
The
agriculture and the cattle raising, while activities that directly
depend on environmental conditions for its performance, may be severely
affected by the climate changes, mainly in tropical regions. This is
worrying for Brazil because of the importance of agribusiness to the
economy and to society as a whole. Among the agricultural crops of
great importance for the country, the sugar cane has a special feature
in the context of climate change due to the expansion of the use of
alcohol fuel in Brazil and in the world, in the coming years, as a way
of mitigating the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs).
There
is, first, a great interest in the expansion of areas for planting
sugar cane aimed at meeting the growing demands of alcohol fuel,
whereas, on the other hand, several justified restrictions by the
potential impacts on the environment, in the food and nutritional
security, in the demographic dynamics and in human health and, also,
the concerns about the effects of climate change on agriculture. This
expansion should be properly planned, also considering, the adaptation
to the climate changes, so that Brazil does not miss a great
opportunity for business and development, but also, does not have
economic, social and environmental damages because of hasty decisions
and without the necessary technical and scientific basis.
This
case shows that the great challenge is to adapt a complex productive
system, with several inter-relations, to the climate changes, and as
such will be handled in the Project by experts from several knowledge
areas, such as, climatology, demographic dynamics, food and nutritional
security, scientific communication, public policy, geo-processing,
environment, human health and scientific and technological development.
The tool to be used in the analysis on the capacitation of adaptation
of the sugar and alcohol sector to the climate change and, in general,
to the adaptability of the agribusiness as a whole, will be the scenery
of the production of ethanol fuel and associated impacts.
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